Cette recherche s'applique uniquement aux ressources en bibliothèque.
108 résultats
Trier par:
Ajouter à la liste:
Étendre à toutes les références (sans texte intégral)
    • Plusieurs versions

    A semi-empirical approach to projecting future sea-level rise

    Rahmstorf, Stefan
    Science (New York, N.Y.), 19 January 2007, Vol.315(5810), pp.368-70 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]

    • Multi-supports
    Sélectionner

    Wolken, Wind & Wetter : alles, was man über Wetter und Klima wissen muss

    Rahmstorf, Stefan
    München : Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt
    2011
    Recherche de la disponibilité
    Plus…
    Chargement
    Erreur de chargement
    Titre: Wolken, Wind & Wetter [Ensemble multi-supports] : alles, was man über Wetter und Klima wissen muss / Stefan Rahmstorf
    Auteur: Rahmstorf, Stefan
    Editeur: München : Deutsche Verlags-Anstalt
    Date: 2011
    Collation: Versch. Medien
    Collection: Die Kinder-Uni
    Documents dans cette collection: Die Kinder-Uni
    Contient: Wolken, Wind & Wetter. - 223 S.
    CD: Wolken, Wind & Wetter / Stefan Rahmstorf. - Hörverlag
    Classification: PHSW Kindersachbuch
    PHSW Klima
    PHSW Wetter
    PHDK 551.5
    PHMA Medienset
    PHSW Kinderfrage
    Identifiant: 9783421043368 (Buch) (ISBN); 9783867177672 (CD) (ISBN)
    No RERO: R007592638
    Permalien:
    http://data.rero.ch/01-R007592638/html?view=FR_V1

    • Article
    Sélectionner

    Increase of extreme events in a warming world

    Rahmstorf , Stefan, Coumou , Dim
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2011, Vol.108(44), pp.17905-17909 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]
    AGRIS (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations)
    Disponible
    Plus…
    Titre: Increase of extreme events in a warming world
    Auteur: Rahmstorf , Stefan; Coumou , Dim
    Editeur: National Academy of Sciences
    Date: 2011
    Sujet: Long Term Effects ; Time Series Analysis ; Cooling ; Probability ; Heat ; Temperature ; Global Warming
    Description: We develop a theoretical approach to quantify the effect of long-term trends on the expected number of extremes in generic time series, using analytical solutions and Monte Carlo simulations. We apply our method to study the effect of warming trends on heat records. We find that the number of record-breaking events increases approximately in proportion to the ratio of warming trend to short-term standard deviation. Short-term variability thus decreases the number of heat extremes, whereas a climatic warming increases it. For extremes exceeding a predefined threshold, the dependence on the warming trend is highly nonlinear. We further find that the sum of warm plus cold extremes increases with any climate change, whether warming or cooling. We estimate that climatic warming has increased the number of new global-mean temperature records expected in the last decade from 0.1 to 2.8. For July temperature in Moscow, we estimate that the local warming trend has increased the number of records expected in the past decade fivefold, which implies an approximate 80% probability that the 2010 July heat record would not have occurred without climate warming. ; p. 17905-17909.
    Fait partie de: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 2011, Vol.108(44), pp.17905-17909
    Identifiant: 0027-8424 (ISSN)

    • Plusieurs versions

    Increase of extreme events in a warming world

    Rahmstorf, Stefan, Coumou, Dim
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 01 November 2011, Vol.108(44), pp.17905-9 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]

    • Plusieurs versions

    Der Klimawandel : Diagnose, Prognose, Therapie

    Rahmstorf, Stefan
    • Plusieurs versions

    Quasiresonant amplification of planetary waves and recent Northern Hemisphere weather extremes

    Petoukhov, Vladimir, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Petri, Stefan, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 02 April 2013, Vol.110(14), pp.5336-41 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]

    • Plusieurs versions

    Setting the record straight (again)

    Mann, Michael E., Ehrlich, Paul R., Rahmstorf, Stefan
    Nature, 10/2010, Vol.467(7318), pp.920-920 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]

    • Plusieurs versions

    Three years to safeguard our climate

    Figueres, Christiana, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim, Whiteman, Gail, Rockström, Johan, Hobley, Anthony, Rahmstorf, Stefan
    Nature, 28 June 2017, Vol.546(7660), pp.593-595 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]

    • Plusieurs versions

    Quasi-resonant circulation regimes and hemispheric synchronization of extreme weather in boreal summer

    Coumou, Dim, Petoukhov, Vladimir, Rahmstorf, Stefan, Petri, Stefan, Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim
    Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 26 August 2014, Vol.111(34), pp.12331-6 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]

    • Article
    Sélectionner

    Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise

    Rahmstorf , Stefan
    Science, 2007, Vol.315(5810), pp.368-370 [Revue évaluée par les pairs]
    AGRIS (Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations)
    Disponible
    Plus…
    Titre: Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise
    Auteur: Rahmstorf , Stefan
    Sujet: Sea Level -- Research ; Sea Level -- Growth ; Sea Level -- Analysis ; Atmospheric Temperature -- Research ; Atmospheric Temperature -- Analysis ; Atmospheric Temperature -- Influence;
    Description: A semi-empirical relation is presented that connects global sea-level rise to global mean surface temperature. It is proposed that, for time scales relevant to anthropogenic warming, the rate of sea-level rise is roughly proportional to the magnitude of warming above the temperatures of the pre-Industrial Age. This holds to good approximation for temperature and sea-level changes during the 20th century, with a proportionality constant of 3.4 millimeters/year per °C. When applied to future warming scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, this relationship results in a projected sea-level rise in 2100 of 0.5 to 1.4 meters above the 1990 level. ; Includes references ; p. 368-370.
    Fait partie de: Science, 2007, Vol.315(5810), pp.368-370
    Identifiant: 0036-8075 (ISSN)